This is a friendly reminder that this website is not affiliated with NESA or UAC, all information has been provided by the author to their best ability. The author is not liable for any loss of marks or damages that may arise from following the below information.
If you would like a quick overview of the important points, please skip to the end of this section
Does my school affect my scaling? Contrary to popular belief, in the overwhelming majority of cases, the answer is no. The popular but incorrect opinion is generally due to people misunderstanding (or not knowing at all!) how NESA calculates internal marks.
All of the following information is from the guide (Moderation | NSW Education Standards) published by NESA on their website
To determine internal marks, NESA takes 3 main data points from how the school performed in each HSC subject’s external exam: the top mark, the mean (average mark) and the bottom mark (where applicable). The bottom mark may be adjusted if some students perform significantly worse than expected in the external exams to prevent the overall marks being “brought down” by students who performed exceptionally poorly in the HSC exam after performing well at school (this is often due to students being awarded “early offers” for university and then not putting in much effort to prepare for the actual HSC exam). They may also exclude students with upheld illness/misadventure claims and any other obvious outliers.
Using the 3 main data points determined above, a quadratic function is generated (a curved line that passes through the 3 points). This function is used to put the internal performance of students on a common scale with the external HSC exams. When calculating students internal marks, there are a few things that NESA does that are significant
The benefit of this is that if a school has exams that are easier/harder than other schools exams, these differences are removed since all the internal marks are now compared against a common scale. To better illustrate this see the example below (from the NESA website).
In the example above, we see that student A performed significantly better than his peers in both the internal (school assessment mark) and external (examination mark) exams. Furthermore, we also see that most students have performed better in the external exams than they did in their school internal exams (this is backed up by the students having a higher average/mean mark in the external exam).
From the external exams, 3 data points will be taken to help determine the internal marks that NESA awards, the top mark (92), the mean/average (68) and the bottom mark (50). Using this the following quadratic function and marks can be generated.
Note that each student will keep their external examination mark without any further scaling, NESA only uses this process to calculate the internal marks. The final HSC mark is the average of the internal mark (moderated assessment mark) and external mark (examination mark).
What are the implications / takeaways from this?
The UAC ATAR Compass tool is the only official tool for estimating your ATAR and provides the most accurate estimates. The tool will require you to enter your estimated HSC marks, if you are unsure about your expected HSC marks see the section below titled “How can I calculate my expected HSC mark?”. However, the UAC tool will not give you a breakdown of how your subjects scale or even which ones are counting towards the ATAR estimate that is generated.
Alternatively, you can also use the graphs to help estimate an ATAR. This will provide you an indication of how each individual subject is scaling and also about which subjects are contributing the most towards your estimated ATAR. To use this method, choose a subject and open the “HSC mark to scaled mark” graph.
You can use the graph to estimate your scaled mark for a subject as shown in the picture below, in the example the subject English Advanced has been used and the student is estimating they will score 88 in the HSC for English Advanced.
We can see that the estimated scaled mark is around 80. To calculate a total score for all subjects, add together your 10 best units of scaled marks to get a total mark out of 500 (remember to half the marks for one unit courses and also that English must count regardless of whether it is in your top 10 units). This total mark is called the aggregate score.
Once you have an aggregate score (out of 500), you can then simply load the “Aggregate Score to ATAR” graph and use the aggregate score to estimate an ATAR. In the example below, we can see that the estimated ATAR for a student in 2022 with an aggregate of 300 would be around 77-78. Generally, the relationship between aggregate and ATAR is almost the same every year.
While there are also a number of third party sites that claim to estimate your ATAR, many are often using old data and have not been updated. Ever since the release of the UAC official ATAR estimation tool, these sites have mostly become obsolete and I would not recommend using them.
There are a number of ways that you can estimate your expected HSC mark for a subject, it may often be useful to use multiple of the below methods together to produce the most accurate estimate.
There are a variety of reasons that average school marks are very useful
There are a number of possible reasons that your school may not appear on the website or may not have any ranks displayed. The first is that we can only reliably find data for Public Government-run schools, private schools all provide data in different formats (if they provide data at all!) and it would be too hard to compile all of it.
By government law we are also restricted to only publishing ranks for the top 10% of schools (see the next section for more info)
For privacy reasons we also do not publish average scores (and hence ranks) for schools with less than 10 students taking a subject.